Archive for the ‘Fantasy Sports’ Category

Fantasy Secrets: Drafting Tips

Posted: April 4, 2012 by centennialsports in Baseball, Fantasy Sports

By Tom Ruminski

Probably not who you want to take in the 1st round...or at all

Okay guys and girls now that we are up to date on our knowledge of impact rookies, it is time to turn our focus to the second secret that could win you your league.

Rule Number Two: Drafting by Position Strengths and Weaknesses.

First and for most, if your buddy ever tells you to draft a closer in the first round you should tell them to go f*ck themselves and possibly do this to them.

The second part of course all depends upon your relationship with such individual and/or what closer they have recommended to you.

The message is clear; closers can be had in later rounds, usually have minimal impact in head-to-head and rotisserie leagues, and are a dime a dozen. For example, injuries to closers Ryan Madson and Joakim Soria began the drama that is known as the closing carrousel, a continuous revolving cycle of relief pitchers gaining the coveted position, or losing it through injury or ineffectiveness. Fantasy owners have been burned by these two already and there is sure to be plenty more casualties in the up-coming season. In light of this, you should fill out the rest of your roster before taking care of your bullpen.

Everyone wants this guy on their Fantasy team.....well except Ubaldo Jimenez

The positions with the least amount of premium players are the ones that you want to fill out first. Accordingly, one should be looking to acquire a stud catcher, shortstop, and second baseman in the early rounds of the draft.

The shortstop position has the biggest drop of between tier one and two. As a result one should look to acquire one of Troy Tulowitzki, Hanley Ramirez, or Jose Reyes with an early pick.

This is a man you should draft high

The same kind of thought process can be applied to selecting a second baseman. Moreover, owners should be looking to select Robinson Cano, Ian Kinsler, or Dustin Pedroia if possible. However for second base, the production drop of is not as drastic as short. In particular, Dan Uggla, Ben Zobrist, Brandon Phillips, and Michael Young are not as far of in production in comparison to the shortstop second tier, which includes such players as Starlin Castro, Elvis Andrus, and Asdrubal Cabrera. To demonstrate, the first tier second baseman averaged .288. 27.95.858, while the second-tier second baseman averaged a line of .285.18.90.800. On the other hand, the trio of Tulowitzki, Ramirez, and Reyes averaged a line of .313.19.75.882, while the second tier class had a combined line of .286.13.72.757.

The catcher position is also filled with a lot of question marks. Outside of Carlos Santana, Mike Napoli and Brian McCann, there is a limited selection of difference making backstops. In particular, Joe Mauer, Matt Wieters, and Buster Posey may all have significant fantasy value at the position, yet, provide a degree of uncertainty.

Mauer is coming off an injury-plagued year that saw him produce a line of .287.3.30.729. These numbers are way down in comparison to his career year in 2009 that saw him produce a monster line of .365.28.96.1.031.

Buster Posey will be a fantasy stud one day, however, coming into the 2012 season there is a big question mark surrounding him. First off, how will he come back from a devastating home-plate collision that left him with three torn ligaments in his left ankle and a broken bone? In addition, will he be able to produce in a weak Giants offence that finished second last in runs scored in the majors last season and had the third worst team batting average with a mark of .242.

Finally, the simple fact that Matt Wieters plays for the lowly Baltimore Orioles can raise questions. Yet, all signs point to Wieters having a solid season as he is surrounded by some good bats in Adam Jones, Nick Markakis, Brian Roberts, and Mark Reynolds. In addition, the former fifth overall pick is coming off a career year that saw him post a line off .262.22.68.778.

This drafting strategy is of course one of many that can be applied, but I have found it the most successful so far. Next week, the third secret to success will be revealed.

Here’s a hint: look at large sample sizes over small ones.

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Fantasy Secrets: Rookie Edition

Posted: March 24, 2012 by centennialsports in Fantasy Sports

This is fantasy baseball where we all win....

By Tom Ruminski

There is something deeply satisfying about winning your fantasy baseball league.

You can brag to your parents, talk sh*t to your friends, and maybe even use it as a pick up line at the local pub. Okay, I might be over exaggerating a bit on the last one, but the point should be clear by now. Just make sure you inform your significant other regarding your fantasy activities to avoid this situation.

Everybody wants to be considered a fantasy guru, and if you follow this first of four simple steps you could be well on your way to being the talk of your very own cyber baseball world.

Without any further delay, the first step to winning your league is identifying impact prospects. It is all about being a step ahead and by grabbing some impact rookies you are definitely heading in the right direction. These dudes will either be productive, or you can use their potential as a bargaining tool to acquire some proven talent. Either way, it’s usually a win-win situation with top rookies, just don’t draft this guy….

Rule number one: Identify Impact Prospects.

Every year there are a certain amount of prospects that have a major impact on the MLB and consequentially the fantasy universe.

Finding out who these prospects are is crucial to your potential success. Moreover, to find these young studs, one should look at the Baseball America rankings, their minor league stats and the amount of time they spent at each level.

Here is a cheat sheet of ten rookies to look out for in 2012.

1. Matt Moore, TB. Position: Pitcher

This dude is flat out nasty. Just ask the Texas Rangers what they think of Moore and his 10 strikeout, 2 hit, performance against them in the ALDS. In addition, the kid has been lights in the minors. In 2011, he made 27 starts between single-A and double-A, winning 12 times with a 1.92 ERA, 0.95 WHIP and a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 4.57. If you want even more proof just check out his strikeout numbers throughout his minor league career. In particular, he amassed a total of 490 strikeouts in 342 innings. This dude could already be better than David Price…just sayin.

2. Yu Darvish, TEX. Position: Pitcher

Alright, so the first thing that you have to know about Darvish is that he is not your prototypical Japanese import. He is coming into the show just as he is entering his prime, has a hulking frame, and has the repertoire of a power pitcher. In addition, he posted a 1.72 ERA, 0.89 WHIP, and 9.5 strikeouts per nine innings pitched from 2007-11 with the Nippon Ham Fighters. In light of this, the young Japanese hurler is poised to fill the void left by C.J Wilson, and potentially lead the Texas Rangers to their third straight World Series appearance.

3. Mike Trout, LAA. Position: Outfielder

The Angles sometimes double as a fish farm. First it was Salmon, and now Trout is the hot commodity on the market. The 20-year-old outfielder had a mediocre first 40 games in the majors but all signs point to an impact season. Moreover, his batting average over his last three minor league seasons was .338 and it is almost inevitable that he will steal a job away from ageing veterans Tori Hunter and Vernon Wells. With the stacked lineup in Anaheim, Trout will be allowed to learn without a great deal of pressure place on him, and that is certainly a good thing. He is the catch of day; grab him before it’s too late.

4. Bryce Harper, WAS. Position: Outfielder


At the tender age of 19, Bryce Harper already is a borderline rock star. The first overall pick in the 2010 First-Year Player Draft has been on a fast track to the majors since he was drafted, and he is ripe to burst onto the scene this season. The uber-prospect posted a1.034 OPS in the 2011 Arizona Fall League and swatted 17 homeruns in his first pro season. Harper will start the season in Triple-A, however he should be making his big-league debut in June and has the make-up of a future All-Star.

5. Jesus Montero, SEA- Position: Catcher/First base/DH

This dude has arguably the most developed bat out of the rookie crop and will be given every opportunity to be a force for the lowly Mariners. A very impressive September has only fueled the hype machine surrounding Montero. In particular, he batted .328 with four home runs and 12 RBIs in 18 games with the Yankees last September. New York rewarded the youngster by trading him to Seattle in return for Michael Pineda. The trade will allow Montero to play every day and he will be given plenty of chances to be a difference maker. Sometimes change is good.

Honourable Mention: Yoenis Cespedes, OAK, Julio Teharen ATL, Jarrod Parker, OAK, Drew Pomeranz, COL, Addison Reed, CWS.

Winning your league is all about taking chances. Selecting one of these rookies could be the difference between victory and defeat.

Coming soon: the second step to winning your fantasy league…drafting by position strengths and weaknesses.